Thursday Night Football Pick

Posted: 10/06/2016 by levcohen in Football

Here’s my pick for the game tonight. My advice: don’t watch it unless you have to. Both teams are 1-3, and the road team is favored by more than a field goal despite being without their starting quarterback. That says all you need to know about this NFC West showdown.

Arizona Cardinals (1-3, 1-3 against the spread) at San Francisco 49ers (1-3, 1-3):
Spread: Cardinals favored by 3.5
Over/under: 42.5
My prediction: It’s not going to be a pleasant game to watch, and I also wouldn’t bet on this game. It’s kind of incredible that the Cardinals — a team that’s lost consecutive games to Buffalo and Los Angeles and a team that’ll be without starting quarterback Carson Palmer — are clear favorites in San Francisco. At the same time, it’s not that shocking, because the Niners have lost their last three games by a total of 45 points. I won’t pretend to have any idea of how backup QB Drew Stanton will play, but hopefully it’s a whole lot better than he has so far this season in relief of Palmer, as he’s had two of 15 passes intercepted and has a quarterback rating of 3.6. I think it’s safe to say that Stanton isn’t very good, but the Cardinals should still be able to win provided he plays like an average backup. I’m going to pick Arizona here, with the deciding factor being the devastating loss of excellent Niners’ linebacker NaVorro Bowman. David Johnson should have some room to run for the Cards, and Stanton will do just enough against a thoroughly inept San Fran offense. If I had to bet on anything here, it would be the under. Cardinals win 20-17.
Niners cover
Under

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