NFL Week 10 Review

Posted: 11/13/2013 by levcohen in Football

General Review: Week 10 was crazy, as road teams won more than half of games on Sunday. Also, both the Jacksonville Jaguars and Tampa Bay Buccaneers won after starting the season 0-8. So yeah, the NFL is crazy, and my picks are bad. What else is new?

Seattle Seahawks (8-1, 5-4 against the spread) at Atlanta Falcons (2-6, 2-6):
Line: Seahawks favored by 4
Over/under: 44.5
My prediction: Seahawks- 26, Falcons- 21
Seahawks cover
Over

Results: Seahawks- 33, Falcons- 10.. This was a totally dominant performance for Seattle, as they held Matt Ryan and Atlanta, who were so good last year, to 172 yards passing on 36 pass attempts. This was a vintage Seahawks performance, as the defense was stellar and Marshawn Lynch ran wild. The final yardage totals were 490 for Seattle and 226 for Atlanta.

Detroit Lions (5-3, 5-3) at Chicago Bears (5-3, 2-5-1):
Line: Pick em
Over/under: 52.5
My prediction: Bears- 30, Lions- 27
Bears cover
Over

Results: Lions- 21, Bears- 19.. 0/3 on this one, and now the Lions aren’t only the NFC North leaders, but it would shock me if they don’t make the playoffs. Check out the remaining schedule for Detroit, who is know alone at the top of the North: Pittsburgh, Tampa, Green Bay on Thanksgiving (perhaps minus Aaron Rodgers), Philadelphia, Baltimore, the Giants, and Minnesota. I see two losses, tops, and the Saints have a tough remaining schedule (they still have Seattle, San Francisco, and Carolina twice, which is the second toughest remaining schedule), so the Lions could get a first round BYE.

As for the other side, the 5-4 Bears lost another key defender, Charles Tillman, for the season and are in trouble. They had a chance to tie the game with a two point conversion late, which would have saved their season, and perhaps their only saving grace is that they are still tied with Green Bay. For now, though, they are a rung or two below Carolina and San Francisco in the WC race.

Philadelphia Eagles (4-5, 4-5) at Green Bay Packers (5-3, 5-3):*
Line: Eagles favored by 1
Over/under: 47
My prediction: Packers- 24, Eagles- 21
Packers cover
Under

Results: Eagles- 27, Packers- 13.. A 1/3 here, and now I’m 1 for 3 on all three categories, which is a recurring theme. The Eagles now have to be considered the NFC East favorite, what with Dallas being waxed and Washington and the Giants with gaping holes on their rosters (for one, they have two of the 10 worst special teams of all time). The Packers, well, need Aaron Rodgers back.

Jacksonville Jaguars (0-8, 1-7) at Tennessee Titans (4-4, 5-2-1):
Line: Titans favored by 13
Over/under: 41.5
My prediction: Titans- 23, Jaguars- 14
Jaguars cover
Under

Results: Jaguars- 29, Titans- 27.. Another 1/3, with the spread right this time. This had the makings of a trap game, as the Colts game did, and both teams lost, as I said could happen (of course, I predicted both to win). This was more about a Titan fail than a good Jags performance.

St. Louis Rams (3-6, 3-6) at Indianapolis Colts (6-2, 5-3):
Line: Colts favored by 10
Over/under: 44
My prediction: Colts- 23, Rams- 20
Rams cover
Under

Results: Rams- 38, Colts- 8.. Basically the same as the previous game, expect it was even more stunning. I think the Colts will be fine, and I don’t think the Rams can get back in the playoff race (I don’t think they’d make the playoffs even if they were to run the table, which is about as likely as me making the NFL).

Oakland Raiders (3-5, 4-4) at New York Giants (2-6, 3-5):*
Line: Giants favored by 7.5
Over/under: 43
My prediction: Raiders- 27, Giants- 20
Raiders cover
Over

Results: Giants- 24, Raiders- 20.. The Giants got lucky and won a third straight game. Could they be getting back into the playoff race?

Buffalo Bills (3-6, 5-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (2-6, 2-6):*
Line: Steelers favored by 3
Over/under: 43
My prediction: Bills- 21, Steelers- 20
Bills cover
Under

Results: Steelers- 23, Bills- 10.. this is so depressing.

Cincinnati Bengals (6-3, 5-3-1) at Baltimore Ravens (3-5, 3-5):*
Line: Bengals favored by 1
Over/under: 44
My prediction: Ravens- 20, Bengals- 13
Ravens cover
Under

Results: Ravens- 20, Bengals- 17.. Thankfully, this was a last second change that ended up working for me. That’s a change.

Carolina Panthers (5-3, 5-3) at San Francisco 49ers (6-2, 6-2):
Line: 49ers favored by 6
Over/under: 43.5
My prediction: 49ers- 24, Panthers- 17
49ers cover
Under

Results: Panthers- 10, 49ers- 9.. Maybe the 49ers are the team who can only beat bad teams. The Panthers are simply better right now.

Houston Texans (2-6, 1-7) at Arizona Cardinals (4-4, 5-3):
Line: Cardinals favored by 3
Over/under: 42
My prediction: Cardinals- 24, Texans- 20
Cardinals cover
Over

Results: Cardinals- 27, Texans- 24.. Of course, in one of my best picks, I get a 2-0-1 as the Cardinals couldn’t cover. Man oh man.

Denver Broncos (7-1, 5-3) at San Diego Chargers (4-4, 5-2-1):
Line: Broncos favored by 7
Over/under: 57.5
My prediction: Broncos- 31, Chargers- 28.. This is going to be a close game, and I don’t know why the Broncos are favored by seven points at a division rival who needs a win. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the upset here. By the way, the Broncos are the only perfect “Over” team, as they are 8-0 on the over.
Chargers cover
Over

Results: Broncos- 28, Chargers- 20.. Just the pick right.

Dallas Cowboys (5-4, 7-2) at New Orleans Saints (6-2, 5-3):- Lock of the Week
Line: Saints favored by 6
Over/under: 53.5
My prediction: Saints- 35, Cowboys- 24.. The Saints are going to come to play in this game. Although I’ve been wrong about the Saints a lot recently. I think Drew Brees will win this game for New Orleans at home fairly easily.
Saints cover
Over

Results: Saints- 49, Cowboys- 17.. Finally a 3/3! And this was the easiest pick of the week.

Miami Dolphins (4-4, 4-4) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-8, 2-6):
Line: Dolphins favored by 1
Over/under: 41
My prediction: Dolphins- 20, Buccaneers- 17.. Yes, the Incognito-Martin thing might affect the Dolphins’ play, but who really knows if it will? And while the Buccaneers are a good, talented 0-8 team, they are still 0-8.
Dolphins cover
Under

Results: Buccaneers- 22, Dolphins- 19.. Another 1/3.

Upset picks:
Packers over Eagles- WRONG
Ravens over Bengals- RIGHT
Raiders over Giants- WRONG
Bills over Steelers- WRONG

1-3.. 16-23 total

Lock of the Week:
Saints over Cowboys- RIGHT

9-1

5-9 on picks.. 87-59-1 total
6-7-1 on spread.. 60-83-4
8-6 on over/under.. 76-70-1

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