Super Bowl Pick and Prop Picks

Posted: 02/03/2013 by levcohen in Football
Tags: , , ,

In under four hours, the biggest event of the year will take place. It is the most watched TV broadcast of the year, and with a historical team (the 49ers) playing, even more people could watch. I already talked about matchups and keys and all that important stuff, and I think I hinted at who I was going to pick. Before I make this pick, I want to say that I actually have no idea who is going to win this game. I mean, I have more of an idea of what’s going to happen in a regular season game between two evenly matched teams. If this game is decided by three or fewer points, the Ravens are probably going to win because of their kicking advantage. If it is a 4-7 point game it’s probably a tossup. If it’s a double digit game I think the 49ers are pretty likely to end up victorious. Before I make my pick, I’m going to make some prop picks (that is, games within the game. Too much fun.)

Props (via oddsshark.com)

With my picks at the bottom mostly in italics

Coin Toss
Heads -105
Tails -105

No bet. It’s a coin toss, people

Who will win the coin toss?
Baltimore Ravens -105
San Francisco 49ers -105

DittoWill the team that wins the coin toss win the game?
Yes -115
No -115Ditto

Team to score first in the game
Baltimore Ravens (Score First) EVEN
San Francisco 49ers (Score First) -130

Ravens at even odds

SUPER BOWL XLVII – Team to score first wins game?
Yes (Score First Wins Game) -165
No (Score First Wins Game) +135

Yes. (-165). Hedging my bet here

SUPER BOWL XLVII – The first score of the game will be?
Touchdown -150
Field Goal or Safety +120

Touchdown (-150)

SUPER BOWL XLVII – Will there be a score in the first 7min 30 seconds of 1st quarter?
Yes (First 7 min 30 sec of 1st Qtr) -180
No (First 7 min 30 sec of 1st Qtr) +150

No (+150)

SUPER BOWL XLVII – Player to score the first TD in the game?
Frank Gore (SF) RB 13/2
Michael Crabtree (SF) WR 15/2
Ray Rice (BAL) RB 15/2
Anquan Boldin (BAL) WR 8/1
Colin Kaepernick (SF) QB 8/1
Vernon Davis (SF) TE 9/1
Torrey Smith (BAL) WR 10/1
Dennis Pitta (BAL) TE 12/1
Randy Moss (SF) WR 12/1
Delanie Walker (SF) TE 18/1
Bernard Pierce (BAL) RB 20/1
Ed Dickson (BAL) TE 25/1
Jacoby Jones (BAL) WR 25/1
Joe Flacco (BAL) QB 30/1
Anthony Dixon (SF) RB 33/1
Ed Reed (BAL) FS 33/1
Ted Ginn Jr. (SF) WR 33/1
Vonta Leach (BAL) FB 33/1
Ray Lewis (BAL) LB 50/1
Field 17/2
No TD scored in the game 75/1

Dennis Pitta at 12/1, Jacoby Jones at 25/1 or Ed Reed at 33/1

SUPER BOWL XLVII SPECIALS – How long will it take Alicia Keys to sing the US National Anthem?
Over/Under 2 minutes 15seconds

Under

SUPER BOWL XLVII SPECIALS – Will Alicia Keys be booed during or after her rendition of the US National Anthem?
Yes 5/1

No

SUPER BOWL XLVII SPECIALS – Will Alicia Keys forget or omit at least 1 word of the official US National Anthem?
Yes +150 (3/2)
No -200 (1/2)

No (-200)

SUPER BOWL XLVII SPECIALS – Will either Jack or Jackie Harbaugh be shown on TV wearing any clothing that has either a SF or BAL logo on it during the game?
Yes +200 (2/1)
No -300 (1/3)

No (-300)… That would be stupid..

SUPER BOWL XLVII SPECIALS – How many times will Jack Harbaugh be shown on TV during the game?
Over 1.5 (-140) (5/7)
Under 1.5 (EVEN) (1/1)

Over 1.5

SUPER BOWL XLVII SPECIALS – How many times will the game be referred to as the Harbaugh Bowl or Har Bowl or Super Baugh during the game?
Over/Under 2 ½

Under 2.5

SUPER BOWL XLVII SPECIALS – Who will be shown first during the game?
Jim Harbaugh 1/1
John Harbaugh 1/1
Split screen shot of both 4/1

Jim Harbaugh

SUPER BOWL XLVII SPECIALS – How long will the post game handshake/hug last between Jim & John Harbaugh?
Over/Under 7.5 seconds

Over

SUPER BOWL XLVII SPECIALS – Who will be mentioned more by full name during the game?
Jim Harbaugh -120
John Harbaugh -120

Jim Harbaugh

SUPER BOWL XLVII SPECIALS – How many times will Harbaugh be said during the game?
Over/Under 20 ½

Over

SUPER BOWL XLVII SPECIALS – Who will Barack Obama pick to win the game?
Baltimore Ravens -200 (1/2)
San Francisco 49ers +150 (3/2)

Ravens -200.. Close to DC..

SUPER BOWL XLVII SPECIALS – What Color will the Gatorade (or liquid) be that is dumped on the Head Coach of the Winning Super Bowl Team?
Clear/Water 7/4
Orange 5/2
Yellow 5/2
Green 13/2
Red 13/2
Blue 13/2

Red (13/2)

SUPER BOWL XLVII SPECIALS – Who will the Super Bowl MVP of the Game thank first?
Teammates 5/4
God 5/2
Coach 12/1
Family 12/1
Owner 15/1
Does Not Thank Anyone 9/4

God

SUPER BOWL XLVII SPECIALS – How many average viewers will the game have?
Over/Under 111 million viewers

Over

SUPER BOWL XLVII SPECIALS – What will happen with the Dow Jones the day after the Super Bowl?
Market Up -140 (5/7)
Market Down EVEN (1/1)

Market’s been going up.. Market Up (-140)

SUPER BOWL XLVII SPECIALS – What will be the highest tweet per second during the Super Bowl?
Over/Under 15,000

Over

SUPER BOWL XLVII SPECIALS – Will any player get a penalty for excessive celebration in the game?       
Yes                  +225     (9/4)
No                    -350     (2/7)
No (-350)
MVP and First to Score a Touchdown Odds
SUPER BOWL XLVII – Odds to Win MVP?         
Colin Kaepernick (SF) QB           7/4
Joe Flacco (BAL) QB                 11/4
Frank Gore (SF) RB                   7/1
Ray Lewis (BAL) LB                   7/1
Ray Rice (BAL) RB                    10/1
Michael Crabtree (SF) WR          14/1
Anquan Boldin (BAL) WR           16/1
Vernon Davis (SF) TE                 18/1
Torrey Smith (BAL) WR              20/1
Ed Reed (BAL) FS                     33/1
Aldon Smith (SF) LB                  40/1
Dennis Pitta (BAL) TE                40/1
Randy Moss (SF) WR                40/1
Patrick Willis (SF) LB                 50/1
Terrell Suggs (BAL) LB               50/1

Colin Kaepernick (7/4)

SUPER BOWL XLVII – Will Either team score 3 unanswered times in the game?       
Yes (3 Unanswered Scores)                    -180     (5/9)
No (3 Unanswered Scores)                     +150     (3/2)
No (+150)
SUPER BOWL XLVII – Margin of Victory          
Baltimore Ravens 1 to 6 points                            4/1
Baltimore Ravens 7 to 12 points                          6/1
Baltimore Ravens 13 to 18 points                        10/1
Baltimore Ravens 19 to 24 points                        20/1
Baltimore Ravens 25 to 30 points                        40/1
Baltimore Ravens 31 to 36 points                        80/1
Baltimore Ravens 37 or more points                     80/1
San Francisco 49ers 1 to 6 points                       3/1
San Francisco 49ers 7 to 12 points                     4/1
San Francisco 49ers 13 to 18 points                    6/1
San Francisco 49ers 19 to 24 points                    10/1
San Francisco 49ers 25 to 30 points                    16/1
San Francisco 49ers 31 to 36 points                    25/1
San Francisco 49ers 37 or more points                25/1
49ers 1-6 (3/1)
SUPER BOWL XLVII – Team to score first and final result       
Baltimore Ravens Score First and Win Game                   3/1
Baltimore Ravens Score First and Lose Game                  3/1
San Francisco 49ers Score First and Win Game              1/2
San Francisco 49ers Score First and Lose Game           17/4
Baltimore score first and lose game (3/1)
SUPER BOWL XLVII – Will the game go to overtime?
Yes (Overtime)                           +600     (6/1)
No (Overtime)                            -1000    (1/10)
No (1/10)
 
SUPER BOWL XLVII – The largest points lead of the game by either team will be     
Over/Under                    13
Over
SUPER BOWL XLVII – Will there be a Lead Change in the Second Half?       
Yes (Lead Change in 2nd Half)                +150     (3/2)
No (Lead Change in 2nd Half)                  -180     (5/9)
Yes (+150)
SUPER BOWL XLVII – Longest Touchdown Scored in the Game (Yardage)    
Over/Under                    46 ½
 
Over
SUPER BOWL XLVII – Shortest Touchdown Scored in the Game (Yardage)   
Over/Under                    1 ½
Over
 
SUPER BOWL XLVII – Total Touchdowns in the game
Over/Under                    5 ½
Over
SUPER BOWL XLVII – Will there be a Special Teams or Defensive Touchdown scored in the game?           
Yes (Defensive or Special Teams TD)                  +160     (8/5)
No (Defensive or Special Teams TD)                    -200     (1/2)
Yes (+160)
SUPER BOWL XLVII –  How many successful 3 point Field Goals will be kicked in the game?          
Over FGs                                  O 3½ (+120)      (6/5)
Under FGs                                U 3½  (-150)      (2/3)
Under 3.5 (-150)
SUPER BOWL XLVII – Longest Successful Field Goal in the Game    
Over/Under                    44 ½
Under
SUPER BOWL XLVII – Total QB Sacks in the game     
Over/Under                    4 ½
Under
SUPER BOWL XLVII – Total First Downs Made by Both Teams           
Over/Under                    40 ½
Under
SUPER BOWL XLVII – Will either team successfully convert a 4th down attempt?     
Yes (4th Down Converted)                       -250     (2/5)
No (4th Down Converted)                        +200     (2/1)
Yes (-250)
SUPER BOWL XLVII – Total Number of Penalties Made in the Game by Both Teams 
Over/Under                    13 ½
Under
SUPER BOWL XLVII – Will there be a Successful 2 point Conversion Attempt in the Game? 
Yes (Successful 2pt Conversion Attempt)             +350     (7/2)
No (Successful 2pt Conversion Attempt)              -500     (1/5)
No (-500)
 
PLAYER PROPS
Total Passing Yards  – Joe Flacco (BAL)         
Over/Under                    250
Over
Total TD Passes – Joe Flacco (BAL)    
0                                  3/1
1                                  7/4
2                                  5/2
3                                  9/2
4 or more                      7/2
2 (5/2)
Longest Completion – Joe Flacco (BAL)          
Over/Under                    40 ½
Over
 
Total Rushing Yards – Ray Rice (BAL)
Over/Under                    69 ½
Under
Longest Rush – Ray Rice (BAL)           
Over/Under                    17 ½
Under
 
Total Receiving Yards – Anquan Boldin (BAL)
Over/Under                    67 ½
Under
Longest Reception – Anquan Boldin (BAL)      
Over/Under                    27 ½
Under
Total Receiving Yards – Torrey Smith (BAL)    
Over/Under                    65 ½
 
Over
Longest Reception – Torrey Smith (BAL)
Over/Under                    29 ½
Over
Total Tackles & Assists – Ray Lewis (BAL)       
Over/Under                    11 ½
Under
Will Ed Reed (BAL) Intercept a Pass   
Yes                              +300     (3/1)
No                                -500     (1/5)
Yes (+300)
Total Passing Yards  – Colin Kaepernick (SF)  
Over/Under                    232 ½
Under
Total TD Passes – Colin Kaepernick (SF)         
0                                  2/1
1                                  9/5
2                                  11/4
3                                  6/1
4 or more                      10/1
3 (6/1)
Longest Completion – Colin Kaepernick (SF)  
Over/Under                    37 ½
Over
Total Rushing Yards – Colin Kaepernick (SF)  
Over/Under                    50 ½
 
Over
Longest Rush – Colin Kaepernick (SF)            
Over/Under                    19 ½
Over
Will Colin Kaepernick (SF) score a Rushing TD in the game?
Yes                              +110     (11/10)
No                                -140     (5/7)
No (-140)
Total Rushing Yards – Frank Gore (SF)            
Over/Under                    82 ½
Under
Longest Rush – Frank Gore (SF)          
Over/Under                    17 ½
 
Over
Total Receiving Yards – Michael Crabtree (SF)           
Over/Under                    77 ½
Under
 
Longest Reception – Michael Crabtree (SF)
Over/Under                    29 ½
Under
 
Total Receiving Yards – Vernon Davis (SF)     
Over/Under                    50 ½
Over
Longest Reception –  Vernon Davis (SF)         
Over/Under                    20 ½
Under
I know some of those picks contradicted each other, but whatever.
As for my pick…
49ers- 28, Ravens- 17
49ers cover the 4 point spread and it goes under 47.5
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Comments
  1. marinite says:

    Omg. I think you have outdone yourself. Good luck with your predictions. Go Niners!

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