Super Bowl Mania Part I

Posted: 01/29/2013 by levcohen in Football
Tags: ,

In case you don’t know, the Super Bowl is next week. I doubt this is new news to anyone (if it is, you sure have been sleeping for a while), but the teams are the San Francisco 49ers and the Baltimore Ravens. Many experts are predicting it to be a close game, much like the Super Bowls of the past decade. We’ll be going over for the advantages for each team with a final prediction on Sunday. Just to start it off, I believe that San Francisco has the superior talent. They have arguably the four best defenders among both teams combined (sorry Terrell Suggs and Haloti Ngata) in Aldon and Justin Smith, Patrick Willis and Navarro Bowman. On the offensive side of the ball, the teams are pretty comparable aside from the QB’s. Both have two good running backs (Frank Gore, the Niners lead back, is much like an older, better version of the Ravens change-of-pace Bernard Pierce. Ray Rice, the Ravens lead back, is much like an older, better version of 9ers change-of-pace LaMichael James). Both teams are great at the offensive line position (both ranked as top six o-lines). Both have talented tight ends who are sometimes a big part of their offense and sometimes phased out (Vernon Davis and Dennis Pitta). Both have strong wide receiver groups, but neither have elite wide receivers (Michael Crabtree and Torrey Smith are good but not great top receivers). As for the quarterbacks, I can see each easily winning or losing their team a game. Colin Kaepernick is starting his 10th career game. It’s pretty shocking for a QB to be in the biggest game of the season in just his 10th start. Kaepernick can win a game with his legs or his arm, but he can lose it by making poor decisions with the ball (an example is the pick-6 he threw early in the game against Green Bay). He is the more explosive QB, but Joe Flacco is the more experienced one. He has never missed a game in his five year career and has won eight playoff games, including at least one each season. He might be the best deep passer in the NFL. His completion % is low, but that’s only because of the complexity of the throws he has to make. Flacco can lose games by misplacing intermediate passes or just by losing patience. One thing I know for sure about both QB’s is that they are both immensely confident, which can be a good thing and a bad thing.

Over the next few days, I’ll be exploring these points more in depth, while bringing out the dreaded stat sheet (actually just looking at footballoutsiders.com data. Thanks FO)

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Comments
  1. marinite says:

    I will say “Go, Niners”, though football is not my favorite sport. I hope no one tears up the City afterwards; there will be a greatly increased police presence.

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