Week 5 NFL Review, Minnesota Timberwolves offseason report

Posted: 10/09/2012 by levcohen in Basketball, Football

First for the NFL Review:

*= Upset pick
LOTW= Lock of the week

Dallas Cowboys, Detroit Lions, Oakland Raiders, Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Bye

Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals:
Spread: Bengals favored by 3 points
Over/under: 45
My prediction: Bengals-24, Dolphins- 23
Dolphins cover

Results: Dolphins- 17, Bengals- 13.. this was a close, hard fought game. Incorrect pick, correct cover, incorrect over/under

Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts:
Spread: Packers favored by 7 points
Over/under: 48
My prediction: Packers-31, Colts- 21
Packers cover

Results: Colts- 30, Packers- 27.. Shocker here.. I didn’t see this one coming… Incorrect pick and cover, correct over/under

Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs:
Spread: Ravens favored by 6.5 points
Over/under: 46
My prediction: Ravens- 27, Chiefs- 16
Ravens cover

Results: Ravens- 9, Chiefs- 6.. ugly game.. in this game, Chiefs fans cheered the injury of quarterback Matt Cassel, which is horrible… correct pick, incorrect cover, correct over/under

Cleveland Browns at New York Giants:
Spread: Giants favored by 8 points
Over/under: 43
My prediction: Giants- 24, Browns- 20
Browns cover

Results: Giants- 41, Browns- 27… Browns got off to a quick start, but the Giants offense got on track. 3 TD’s for Victor Cruz, 200 yards rushing for Ahmad Bradshaw… correct pick, incorrect cover, correct over/under

Philadelphia Eagles at Pittsburgh Steelers*:
Spread: Steelers favored by 3 points
Over/under: 43
My prediction: Eagles- 20, Steelers- 17
Eagles cover

Results: Steelers- 16, Eagles- 14.. If Michael Vick could just hold onto the ball, I would have nailed this one. Vick cost the team at least 7 points, and the Steelers hit a game winning field goal.. incorrect pick, correct cover, correct over/under

Atlanta Falcons at Washington Redskins:
Spread: Falcons favored by 3 points
Over/under: 51
My prediction: Falcons- 34, Redskins- 24
Falcons cover

Results: Falcons- 24, Redskins- 17.. Back and fourth game, redskins star QB Robert Griffin III got hurt.. Not as high scoring as I though. Correct pick, correct cover, incorrect over/under

Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers:
Spread: Panthers favored by 2 points
Over/under: 41.5
My prediction: Panthers- 23, Seahawks- 17
Panthers cover

Results: Seahawks- 16, Panthers- 12.. Ugly, low scoring game.. Incorrect pick, incorrect cover, correct over/under

Chicago Bears at Jacksonville Jaguars:
Spread: Bears favored by 5.5 points
Over/under: 40.5
My prediction: Bears- 24, Jaguars- 10
Bears cover

Results: Bears- 41, Jaguars- 3.. The Bears defense throttled the Jaguars. I really should have gotten 3 for 3 on this one, but the Bears scored 28 points in the fourth quarter.. Correct pick, correct cover, incorrect over/under

Tennessee Titans at Minnesota Vikings:
Spread: Vikings favored by 5.5 points
Over/under: 44
My prediction: Vikings- 27, Titans- 20
Vikings cover

Results: Vikings- 30, Titans- 7.. Vikings had a great game here. Titans are horrible, I over estimated their offense… correct pick, correct cover, incorrect over/under

Denver Broncos at New England Patriots:
Spread: Patriots favored by 7 points
Over/under: 52.5
My prediction: Patriots- 28, Broncos- 24
Broncos cover

Results: Patriots- 31, Broncos- 21… hard to believe that this is under, but I guessed correctly. I was truthfully pretty close on the, but not close enough to get the spread.. correct pick, incorrect cover, correct over/under

Buffalo Bills at San Francisco 49ers:
Spread: 49ers favored by 10 points
Over/under: 45
My prediction: 49ers- 24,  Bills- 16
Bills cover

Results: 49ers- 45, Bills- 3.. I missed big on this one, thinking the Bills could hold 49ers to 24 points, and manage to score 16.. Obviously, this was a huge blowout, but, again, it should have been under 45. The 49ers scored a lot of garbage time points. Correct pick, incorrect cover, incorrect over/under

San Diego Chargers at New Orleans Saints:
Spread: Saints favored by 3.5 points
Over/under: 52.5
My prediction: Saints- 31, Chargers- 28
Chargers cover

Results: Saints- 31, Chargers- 24.. I was close on this one, but the Chargers couldn’t score enough to cover.. Drew Brees broke the record for most consecutive games with a touchdown.. Correct pick, incorrect cover, correct over/under

Houston Texans at New York Jets:- LOTW, 4 in 5 weeks for the Texans
Spread: Texans favored by 9 points
Over/under: 40.5
My prediction: Texans- 30, Jets- 10
Texans cover

Results: Texans- 23, Jets- 17.. This was closer than I thought it would be, but it was never really in doubt.. Correct pick, incorrect cover, correct over/under

Upset picks:
Eagles over Steelers- INCORRECT
6-10 total

Lock of the week:
Texans over Jets- CORRECT
4-1 on total LOTW

9-5 on pick.. 42-35 total
5-9 on spread… 39-38 total
8-6 on over/under… 38-39 total

Fantasy Football Review- NEW:
QB of the week: Drew Brees- 29/45, 370 yards, 4 TD, 1 INT.. Saints
Surprise QB of the week: Alex Smith- 18/24, 303 yards, 3 TD, 0 INT, 3 rushes, 49 yards.. 49ers
Disappointing QB of the week: Cam Newton- 12/29, 141 yards, 0 TD, 0 INT, fumble, 7 rushes, 42 yards.. Panthers
Worst starting QB of the week: Ryan Fitzpatrick- 16/26, 126 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT.. Bills

RB of the week: Ahmad Bradshaw- 30 carries, 200 yards, 1 TD, 4 catches for 29 yards.. Giants
Surprise RB of the week: Ryan Mathews- 12 carries, 80 yards, 1 TD, 6 catches for 59 yards… Chargers
Disappointing RB of the week: CJ Spiller- 7 carries for 24 yards.. Bills
Worst starting RB of the week: Chris Johnson- 15 carries, 24 yards, 1 catch, 5 yards, 1 fumble.. Titans

WR of the week: Marques Colston- 9 catches for 131 yards, 3 touchdowns.. Saints (honorable mention to Reggie Wayne for the Colts, who had 12 catches for 212 yards with a touchdown)
Surprise WR of the week: Josh Gordon- 2 catches for 82 yards, 2 touchdowns.. Browns
Disappointing WR of the week: Andre Johnson- 1 catch for 15 yards.. Texans
Worst starting WR of the week: Greg Little- 0 catches for 0 yards- Browns

TE of the week: Tony Gonzalez- 13 catches for 123 yards, 1 touchdown.. Falcons
Surprise TE of the week: Jeff Cumberland- 2 catches for 51 yards and a touchdown… Jets
Disappointing TE of the week: Jimmy Graham- 1 catches for 4 yards.. Saints
Worst starting TE of the week: Benjamin Watson- 1 catch for 3 yards.. Browns

Minnesota Timberwolves:
Key Additions: Brandon Roy (FA), Chase Budinger (trade), Alexey Shved (FA), Greg Stiemsma (FA), Robbie Hummel (draft), Andrei Kirilenko (FA), Dante Cunningham (trade)
Key Losses: Darko Milicic (FA), Martell Webster (FA), Brad Miller (retirement), Michael Beasley (FA), Anthony Randolph (FA), Wayne Ellington (trade)

Grade: C+

The Timberwolves are a very intriguing team. They could make the playoffs for the first time in a while this year. Their offseason was average. They lost talented players Darko Milicic, Michael Beasley and Anthony Randolph and gained proven players (but injury and age concerns) Brandon Roy, Alexey Shved and Andrei Kirilenko. If those three players pan out, this will be a good team. If not, it could be tough. Ricky Rubio, Kevin Love and Nikola Pekovic lead this team.

Last year starting lineup:
PG: Rubio (when healthy)
SG: Luke Ridnour (Ridnour played point guard and Martell Webster played shooting guard when Rubio was hurt).
SF: Michael Beasley
PF: Kevin Love
C: Nikola Pekovic

Projected starting lineup:
PG: Rubio
SG: Roy
SF: Kirilenko
PF: Love
C: Pekovic

Roster (usual active 12 in italics):
PG: Ricky Rubio, Luke Ridnour, Jose Juan Barea
SG: Brandon Roy, Alexei Shved, Malcolm Lee, Jermaine Taylor
SF: Andrei Kirilenko, Chase Budinger, Mike Harris
PF: Kevin Love, Derrick Williams, Dante Cunningham, Lou Amundson
C: Nikola Pekovic, Greg Stiemsma, Chris Johnson

Projected minutes:
PG: Rubio (30), Ridnour (10), Barea (6), Shved (2)
SG: Roy (24), Shved (9), Barea (9), Ridnour (6)
SF: Kirilenko (24), Budinger (17), Williams (7)
PF: Love (35), Williams (11), Cunningham (2)
C: Pekovic (29), Stiemsma (12), Cunningham (7)

Projected minutes for each player:
Love- 35
Rubio- 30
Pekovic- 29
Roy- 24
Kirilenko- 24
Williams- 18
Budinger- 17
Ridnour- 16
Barea- 15
Stiemsma- 12
Shved- 11
Cunningham- 9

Last year’s stats for each player:
Love: 26 points, 13 rebounds, 2 assists per game (55 games, injured rest of season)
Rubio: 10.5 points, 8.5 assists, 4 rebounds, 2 steals per game (41 games, injured rest of season)
Pekovic: 14 points, 7.5 rebounds per game (47 games, DNP-CD rest of season)
Roy (2010-11, did not play last season, injured): 12 points, 3 rebounds, 3 assists per game
Kirilenko (2010-11, did not play last season, Europe): 12 points, 5.5 rebounds, 3 assists, 1.5 blocks, 1.3 steals per game
Williams: 9 points, 4.7 rebounds per game
Ridnour: 12 points, 3 rebounds, 5 assists, 1 steal per game
Budinger: 9.5 points, 4 rebounds, 1.5 assists per game
Stiemsma: 3 points, 3 rebounds, 1.5 blocks per game
Barea: 11 points, 3 rebounds, 6 assists per game (41 games, injured rest of season)
Cunningham: 5 points, 4 rebounds per game

Each player’s strengths:
Love: scoring, 3 point shooting, rebounding
Rubio: passing, rebounding, defense, steals
Pekovic: scoring, rebounding
Roy: explosive, outside shooting, defense, rebounding
Kirilenko: defense, rebounding, outside shooting, scoring
Williams: youth, potential, scoring, rebounding
Ridnour: passing, outside shooting, scoring off the bench
Budinger: 3 point shooting, rebounding
Shved: 3 point shooting, youth
Stiemsma: defense, blocks
Barea: passing, scoring
Cunningham: rebounding, depth


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