Archive for September, 2012

Week 4 NFL Predictions

Posted: 09/30/2012 by levcohen in Football

Now it’s time for my week 4 predictions. I got off to a decent start on Ravens-Browns, so let’s see if I can continue that today.

*= upset pick
LOTW= lock of the week

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons:
Spread: Falcons favored by 7
Over/under: 48.5
My prediction: Falcons- 31, Panthers- 17
Falcons cover
Under

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills:
Spread: Patriots by 4
Over/under: 49.5
My prediction: Patriots- 27, Bills- 23
Patriots cover
Over

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions*:
Spread: Lions by 4.5
Over/under: 49.5
My prediction: Vikings- 24, Lions- 21
Vikings cover
Under

San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs:
Spread: Chargers by 1.5
Over/under: 44.5
My prediction: Chargers- 27, Chiefs- 20
Chargers cover
Over

Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams:
Spread: Seahawks by 3
Over/under: 39
My prediction: Seahawks- 20, Rams- 18
Rams cover
Under

San Francisco 49ers at New York Jets:
Spread: 49ers by 4.5
Over/under: 41
My prediction: 49ers- 23, Jets- 17
49ers cover
Under

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans: -LOTW
Spread: Texans by 12
Over/under: 44.5
My prediction: Texans- 30, Titans- 17
Texans cover
Over

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos*:
Spread: Denver by 7
Over/under: 48.5
My prediction: Raiders- 31, Broncos- 23
Raiders cover
Over

Miami Dolphins at Arizona Cardinals*:
Spread: Cardinals by 5.5
Over/under: 40.5
My prediction: Dolphins- 20, Cardinals- 17
Dolphins cover
Under

Cincinnati Bengals at Jacksonville Jaguars:
Spread: EVEN
Over/under: 44.5
My prediction: Bengals- 28, Jaguars- 20
Bengals cover
Over

New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers:
Spread: Packers by 7.5
Over/under: 53.5
My prediction: Packers- 31, Saints- 28
Saints cover
Over

Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers:
Spread: Tampa Bay by 1
Over/under: 47.5
My prediction: Buccaneers- 34, Redskins- 27
Bucs cover
Over

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles:
Spread: Eagles by 2
Over/under: 47.5
My prediction: Giants- 24, Eagles- 17
Giants cover
Under

Chicago Bears at Dallas Cowboys*: – Monday Night
Spread: Cowboys by 3.5
Over/under: 41.5
My prediction: Bears- 20, Cowboys- 17
Bears cover
Under

Upset picks:
Vikings over Lions
Raiders over Broncos
Dolphins over Cardinals
Bears over Cowboys

Lock of the week:
Texans over Titans- that makes 3 out of 4 weeks that I picked the Texans as LOTW

Ravens-Browns:

Spread: ravens favored by 12 points

Over/under is 42

my prediction: Ravens- 26, Browns- 14

ravens cover

under

Results: Ravens- 23, Browns- 16.. Correct pick, incorrect spread pick, correct over/under

Milwaukee Bucks:

Key additions: Ersan Ilyasova (re-sign), Samuel Dalembert (trade), John Henson (draft), Doron Lamb (draft), Joel Przybilla (FA)

Key losses: Shaun Livingston, Kwame Brown, Jon Leuer, Jon Brockman

Grade: C+

The Bucks are an average team, and they had an average offseason. They added and kept a lot of big man depth. Ilyasova, Dalembert, Henson and Pryzbilla are all big men. They obviously wanted some depth down low, and they got it, as they now have the four I mentioned, and Drew Gooden. They have a dynamic guard duo in Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis. However, both Jennings and Ellis are somewhat selfish with the ball. It’s hard to win with two guards who hog the ball, so while I do think the Bucks have the talent to make some noise, they probably won’t finish higher than 7th or 8th in the conference.

Last year’s starting lineup (after trading Andrew Bogut for Monta Ellis):
PG: Jennings
SG: Ellis
SF: Carlos Delfino
PF: Ilyasova
C: Gooden

Projected starting lineup:
PG: Jennings
SG: Ellis
SF: Mike Dunleavy
PF: Ilyasova
C: Gooden

Roster (Usual active 12 in italics):
PG: Brandon Jennings, Beno Udrih
SG: Monta Ellis, Doron Lamb
SF: Mike Dunleavy, Tobias Harris, Luc Richard M’Bah a Moute
PF: Ersan Ilyasova, Drew Gooden, John Henson
C: Samuel Dalembert, Larry Sanders, Ekpe Udoh, Joel Przybilla

Projected minutes:
PG: Jennings (33), Udrih (12), Ellis (3)
SG: Ellis (33), Lamb (11), Dunleavy (4)
SF: Dunleavy (24), Harris (12), Ilyasova (12)
PF: Gooden (20), Ilyasova (15), Henson (9), Sanders (4)
C: Dalembert (23), Udoh (13), Sanders (8), Henson (4)

Projected minutes for each player:
Ellis: 36
Jennings: 33
Dunleavy: 28
Ilyasova: 27
Dalembert: 23
Gooden: 20
Udoh: 13
Henson: 13
Udrih: 12
Sanders: 12
Harris: 12
Lamb: 11

Last Year’s stats for each player:
Ellis: 20.5 points, 3.5 rebounds, 6 assists, 1.5 steals per game
Jennings: 19 points, 3.5 rebounds, 5.5 assists, 1.5 steals per game
Dunleavy: 12 points, 4 rebounds, 2 assists per game
Ilyasova: 13 points, 9 rebounds per game
Dalembert: 7.5 points, 7 rebounds, 1.7 blocks per game
Gooden: 14 points, 6.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists per game
Udoh: 5.5 points, 4 rebounds, 1.7 blocks per game
Henson: COLLEGE
Udrih: 6 points, 1.5 rebounds, 4 assists per game
Sanders: 3.5 points, 3 rebounds, 1.5 blocks per game
Harris: 5 points, 2.5 rebounds per game
Lamb: COLLEGE

Each player’s strengths:
Ellis: dynamic, good shooter, 3 point distance, steals
Jennings: passing, scoring, dynamic, steals, athletic, youth
Dunleavy: 3 point shooting, rebounding, defense
Ilyasova: scoring down low, rebounding
Dalembert: defense, rebounding, blocks
Gooden: scoring off the bench, rebounding, passing
Udoh: rebounding, blocks
Henson: rebounding, defense, youth
Udrih: leadership,defense, passing
Sanders: blocks
Harris: depth
Lamb: youth, FT, scoring off the bench, 3 point shooting

Ravens-browns prediction

Posted: 09/27/2012 by levcohen in Football

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns

spread: ravens favored by 12 points

over/under is 42

my prediction: Ravens- 26, Browns- 14

ravens cover

under

Week 3 NFL Review- not good

Posted: 09/25/2012 by levcohen in Football

St. Louis Rams at Chicago Bears:
Bears favored by 7 points
Over/under is 43
My prediction: Bears- 27, Rams- 23
Rams cover the spread
Over

Results: Bears- 23, Rams- 6.. Correct pick, incorrect spread, incorrect over/under

Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns*:
Bills favored by 3 points
Over/under is 44
My prediction: Browns- 27, Bills- 24
Browns cover
Over

Results: Bills- 24, Browns- 14.. incorrect on all 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys:
Cowboys favored by 8 points
Over/under is 46
My prediction: Cowboys- 24, Buccaneers- 17
Buccaneers cover
Under

Results: Cowboys- 16, Bucs- 10.. correct on all 3

Detroit Lions at Tennessee Titans:
Lions favored by 3.5 points
Over/under is 47.5
My prediction: Lions- 31, Titans- 19
Lions cover
Over

Results: Titans- 44, Lions- 41.. Incorrect pick, incorrect spread, correct over/under

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts:
Colts favored by 3 points
Over/under is 43
My prediction: Colts- 20, Jags- 17
Colts cover
Under

Results: Jaguars- 22, Colts- 17.. incorrect pick, incorrect spread, correct over/under

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins*:
Jets favored by 1.5 points
Over/under is 41
My prediction: Dolphins- 23, Jets- 17
Dolphins cover
Under

Results: Jets- 23, Dolphins- 20.. incorrect on all 3

San Francisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings: – This is my lock of the week
49ers favored by 7 points
Over/under is 43
My prediction: 49ers- 27, Vikings- 10
49ers cover
Under

Results: Vikings- 24, 49ers- 13.. incorrect pick, incorrect spread, correct over/under

Kansas City Chiefs at New Orleans Saints:
Saints favored by 9 points
Over/under is 53
My prediction: Saints- 38, Chiefs- 24
Saints cover
over

Results: Chiefs- 27, Saints- 24.. incorrect on all 3

Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Redskins*:
Redskins favored by 3 points
Over/under is 50
My prediction: Bengals- 30, Redskins- 27
Bengals cover
Over

Results: Bengals- 38, Redskins- 31.. correct on all 3

Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals:
Eagles favored by 3 points
Over/under is 42
My prediction: Eagles- 23, Cardinals- 13
Eagles cover
Under

Results: Cardinals- 27, Eagles- 6.. incorrect pick, incorrect spread, correct over/under

Atlanta Falcons at San Diego Chargers*:
Chargers favored by 3 points
Over/under is 47.5
My prediction: Falcons- 28, Chargers- 20
Falcons cover
Over

Results: Falcons- 27, Chargers-3… correct pick, correct spread, incorrect over/under

Houston Texans at Denver Broncos:
Texans favored by 1.5 points
Over/under is 44.5
My prediction: Texans- 27, Broncos- 14
Texans cover (I love the Texans this year, but not enough to make this one my lock of the week)
Under

Results: Texans- 31, Broncos- 25.. correct pick, correct spread, incorrect over/under

Pittsburgh Steelers at Oakland Raiders:
Steelers favored by 4 points
Over/under is 45.5
My prediction: Steelers- 20, Raiders- 9
Steelers cover
Under

Results: Raiders- 34, Steelers- 31.. incorrect on all 3

New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens:
Ravens favored by 1 point
Over/under is 50
My prediction: Ravens- 24, Patriots- 20
Ravens cover
Under

Results: Ravens-31, Patriots- 30.. correct pick, correct spread, incorrect over/under

Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks:
Packers favored by 3 points
Over/under is 45
My prediction: Packers- 27, Seahawks- 20
Packers cover
Over

Results: Seahawks- 14, Packers- 12.. Incorrect on all 3

My 4 upset picks are:
Falcons over Chargers- right
Dolphins over Jets- wrong
Browns over Bills- wrong
Bengals over Redskins- right

2-2… 4-7 total

My lock of the week is:
49ers over Vikings- wrong

0-1… 2-1 total

6-10 on picks.. 23-25
5-11 on spread… 23-25
6-10 on over/under… 22-26

 

just a horrible week

Week 3 NFL Predictions

Posted: 09/22/2012 by levcohen in Football

I can’t even talk about my Giants-Panthers prediction. It was that bad. Let’s just say I went 0-3 on that prediction. Moving on now.

*= upset pick

St. Louis Rams at Chicago Bears:
Bears favored by 7 points
Over/under is 43
My prediction: Bears- 27, Rams- 23
Rams cover the spread
Over

Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns*:
Bills favored by 3 points
Over/under is 44
My prediction: Browns- 27, Bills- 24
Browns cover
Over

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys:
Cowboys favored by 8 points
Over/under is 46
My prediction: Cowboys- 24, Buccaneers- 17
Buccaneers cover
Under

Detroit Lions at Tennessee Titans:
Lions favored by 3.5 points
Over/under is 47.5
My prediction: Lions- 31, Titans- 19
Lions cover
Over

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts:
Colts favored by 3 points
Over/under is 43
My prediction: Colts- 20, Jags- 17
Colts cover
Under

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins*:
Jets favored by 1.5 points
Over/under is 41
My prediction: Dolphins- 23, Jets- 17
Dolphins cover
Under

San Francisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings: – This is my lock of the week
49ers favored by 7 points
Over/under is 43
My prediction: 49ers- 27, Vikings- 10
49ers cover
Under

Kansas City Chiefs at New Orleans Saints:
Saints favored by 9 points
Over/under is 53
My prediction: Saints- 38, Chiefs- 24
Saints cover
over

Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Redskins*:
Redskins favored by 3 points
Over/under is 50
My prediction: Bengals- 30, Redskins- 27
Bengals cover
Over

Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals:
Eagles favored by 3 points
Over/under is 42
My prediction: Eagles- 23, Cardinals- 13
Eagles cover
Under

Atlanta Falcons at San Diego Chargers*:
Chargers favored by 3 points
Over/under is 47.5
My prediction: Falcons- 28, Chargers- 20
Falcons cover
Over

Houston Texans at Denver Broncos:
Texans favored by 1.5 points
Over/under is 44.5
My prediction: Texans- 27, Broncos- 14
Texans cover (I love the Texans this year, but not enough to make this one my lock of the week)
Under

Pittsburgh Steelers at Oakland Raiders:
Steelers favored by 4 points
Over/under is 45.5
My prediction: Steelers- 20, Raiders- 9
Steelers cover
Under

New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens:
Ravens favored by 1.5 points
Over/under is 50
My prediction: Ravens- 24, Patriots- 20
Ravens cover
Under

Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks:
Packers favored by 3 points
Over/under is 45
My prediction: Packers- 27, Seahawks- 20
Packers cover
Over

My 4 upset picks are:
Falcons over Chargers
Dolphins over Jets
Browns over Bills
Bengals over Redskins

My lock of the week is:
49ers over Vikings

Giants-Panthers Prediction

Posted: 09/20/2012 by levcohen in Football

New York Giants at Carolina Panthers*.

The Giants are favored by 3.5 points
The over/under is 49

My prediction: Panthers- 30, Giants- 24
Panthers cover the spread
Over

 

Time to look at the baseball playoff races.

Posted: 09/19/2012 by levcohen in Baseball

With everyone focusing on football, baseball has really gone under the radar. It’s time for the stretch run, and with the added wild card spot for each league, there is added drama and pressure. Let’s look at the playoff picture.

The Locks:
NL:
Washington Nationals- NL East winner. The Nats are 6 games up with 2 weeks to go.
Cincinnati Reds- NL Central Winner. The Reds are 11 games up.
San Francisco Giants- NL West Winner. The Giants are 8 up.
Atlanta Braves- 1st wild card. The Braves are 6 and a half games up.

AL:
Texas Rangers- somewhere (probably AL West or maybe Wild Card #1). 3 games up on Athletics- they still have games head to head
Oakland Athletics- somewhere (probably Wild Card #1 or maybe AL West). Tied for first wild card, 3 games out of division leader Rangers.
Chicago White Sox- AL Central. 3 games up, they are going uphill and the Tigers are going downhill.

The Open Spots:
NL: Wild Card #2.

Leading Candidates:
St. Louis Cardinals. Lead by 2 games, not playing great.
Los Angeles Dodgers. Fading fast, still second in the chase.

Intriguing Dark Horses:
Milwaukee Brewers. They’ve gone 23-8 in their last 31 games. Within 3 games up wildcard.
Philadelphia Phillies. They’ve gone 27-15 in their last 42 games. At a .500 record.

Fading Fast:
Pittsburgh Pirates. They are 12-27 in the last 39 games. I’m predicting that they will end under .500 for the 19th straight time (they are 1 game over .500 now).

AL: East, Wild Card #2.

AL East Race:
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles. Yankees are .5 games up.

Wild Card Race:

Leading Candidate:
Yankees or Orioles (whoever loses the AL East Race)

Intriguing Dark Horse:
LA Angels. 3 games out. They are up and down.

Fading Fast:
Detroit Tigers. Lost crucial games to division leader White Sox.
Tampa Bay Rays. Lost 5 of 6. They can’t score.

My prediction:
In the NL, the Brewers OVERTAKE the Cardinals. You heard it here first.
In the AL East, the Yankees win the division and the Orioles get the 1st wild card
In the AL West, the Rangers hold on and the Athletics slump at the end. There is some drama, but the A’s hold on against the Angels.