Grading Each NBA team’s Offseason- Golden State Warriors

Posted: 08/25/2012 by levcohen in Basketball

Key Additions: Harrison Barnes (draft), Jarrett Jack (trade), Festus Ezeli (draft), Draymond Green (draft), Brandon Rush (FA), Carl Landry (FA)

Key Losses: Dorell Wright (FA), Nate Robinson (FA)

Grade: A-

The Golden State Warriors might be the most intriguing, underrated team in the NBA. The Warriors have recently been coiling around the 10th spot in the deep Western Conference. They haven’t been a consistent playoff team in years. I think they are set up to be a good team this season, albeit not in the top half of the playoffs. The Warriors had a somewhat quiet offseason, mainly building around the draft. They had an amazing draft. Harrison Barnes was a tremendous value at #7 (I expected him to go at 4). Barnes is a good scoring small forward who should immediately be good enough to take a starting job. Next, with the last pick in the first round, they drafted a big man, Festus Ezeli. Ezeli isn’t the best scoring center, but he should immediately become a solid backup. He is a good defender. In the second round the Warriors drafted Draymond Green. Green is the type of player who succeeds in the NBA. He has a high basketball IQ and was a winner with Michigan State. While he doesn’t brim with talent, he won the Big 10 player of the year award. He is another solid bench piece. After the draft, the Warriors traded cap space for Jarrett Jack. Jack was a starter last season with New Orleans, but he’ll be a veteran backup player for Golden State. He is an important addition because starting point guard Stephen Curry is seemingly always injured. They also added a solid  power forward in Carl Landry, which means more depth.

As I keep mentioning (sorry), this roster is very talented. However, they won’t even make the playoffs unless their injury prone stars stay healthy. Steph Curry is one of the most talented point guards in the NBA. He has a sweet shot and is dynamic. Andrew Bogut is one of the most talented centers in the NBA. He blocks a ton of shots and is a great low post scoring option. With Monta Ellis gone, there will be a lot more shots to take, which is good for this team.

I believe that the Warriors will be a playoff team if Curry and Bogut stay healthy. With a young gunner in Klay Thompson, a great 3 point shooter in Brandon Rush and a double double machine at power forward in David Lee, they are very talented.

Last year starting lineup (before trading Ellis):
PG: Curry
SG: Ellis
SF: Dorell Wright
PF: Richard Jefferson
C: Lee

Projected starting lineup:
PG: Curry
SG: Thompson
SF: Barnes
PF: Lee
C: Bogut

improved.

Projected roster (usual dressed 12 in bold):
PG: Stephen Curry, Jarrett Jack, Charles Jenkins
SG: Klay Thompson, Brandon Rush
SF: Harrison Barnes, Richard Jefferson, Draymond Green, Kent Bazemore
PF: David Lee, Carl Landry
C: Andrew Bogut, Jeremy Tyler, Festus Ezeli, Andris Biedrins

Projected minutes (with a team so deep, this will be difficult):
PG: Curry (26), Jack (18), Rush (4)
SG: Thompson (28), Rush (16), Curry (4)
SF: Barnes (26), Jefferson (14), Green (8)
PF: Lee (28), Landry (18), Green (2)
C: Bogut (30), Tyler (10), Lee (6), Ezeli (2)

Projected minutes for each player assuming they each played every game (unrealistic, most players will probably get 3-5 more minutes per game because of DNP’s and injuries):

Lee: 34
Curry: 30
Bogut: 30
Thompson: 28
Barnes: 26
Rush: 20
Jack: 18
Landry: 18
Jefferson: 14
Green: 10
Tyler: 10
Ezeli: 2

For guys at bottom, it’s better to count the players’ total minutes and divide by 82 (because they’ll get a lot of DNP CD’s.

Last year stats for each player:
Lee: 20 points, 9.5 rebounds, 3 assists per game
Curry: 15 points, 3.5 rebounds, 5.5 assists, 1.5 steals per game (26 games, injured rest of season)
Bogut: 11 points, 8.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists, 2 blocks, 1 steal per game (12 games, injured rest of season)
Thompson: 12.5 points, 2.5 rebounds, 2 assists per game
Barnes: COLLEGE. Best case scenario: Luol Deng (Bulls second best player. 15 point/8 rebound guy.)
Rush: 10 points, 4 rebounds, 1.5 assists per game
Jack: 15 points, 4 rebounds, 6.5 assists per game (45 games, injured rest of season)
Landry: 12.5 points, 5 rebounds per game (41 games, injured and DNP CD rest of season)
Jefferson: 9 points, 3.5 rebounds, 1.5 assists per game
Green: COLLEGE. Best case scenario: Ryan Gomes (decent 3 point shooter, good bench player+defender)
Tyler: 5 points, 3.5 rebounds per game (40 games, DNP CD rest of season)
Ezeli: COLLEGE. Best case scenario: Samuel Dalembert (defending big man. starter.)

Each player’s strengths:
Lee: rebounding, scoring, shooting, passing, durability
Curry: youth, outside shooting, D, midrange shooting, FT, passing, rebounding, CAN’T stay healthy.
Bogut: youth, rebounding, blocking, post scoring, size, CAN’T stay healthy.
Thompson: youth, outside shooting, potential
Barnes: youth, shooting, defense, physical tools, potential
Rush: scoring off the bench, 3 point shooting
Jack: veteran presence, floor general, passing, scoring off the bench
Landry: veteran presence, depth, rebounding
Jefferson: 3 point shooting, scoring off the bench
Green: passing, rebounding, versatile, motor
Tyler: depth, youth, rebounding
Ezeli: defense, rebounds, physical tools, youth, depth

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Comments
  1. philabundant says:

    About time for this franchise to make some noise…

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