5 MLB slow starters who will bounce back

Posted: 05/15/2012 by levcohen in Baseball

I’m looking deeper (excluding the obvious ones like Albert Pujols and Jose Bautista)… This is assuming these guys stay in the lineup.

Kevin Youkillis, Red Sox 3B… This year’s stats: (6% of AB’s= XBH) 64 AB’s, 4 XBH (2 doubles, 2 homers), 14 R, 9 RBI, .219 AVG, .635 OPS…. Career stats: (162 game average) (12% of AB’s= XBH), 570 AB’s, 67 XBH (41 doubles, 3 triples, 23 homers), 102 R, 97 RBI, .288 average, .878 OPS

While Youk is aging and injured, he is clearly better than he has been this year

Alexei Ramirez, White Sox SS.. This year’s stats: (4% of AB’s= XBH), 139 AB’s, 5 XBH (3 2B, 1 triple, 1 HR), 11 R, 14 RBI, .209 AVG, .497 OPS… Career Stats: (162 game average), (7 % of AB’s= XBH), 604 AB, 45 XBH (25 double, 2 triple, 18 HR), 80 R, 77 RBI, .275 AVG, .730 OPS

Alexei can’t keep preforming this badly. He is also historically a slow starter, so expect him to bounce back.

Ervin Santana, LAA SP.. This year’s stats: 1-6, 5.09 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 5.9 K/9, 12 HR allowed… Career Stats: (162 game average) 4.25 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 7.1 K/9, 28 HR allowed

The big difference between this year and other years for Santana is the homers allowed. His WHIP is near the same, but he is allowing way too many home runs this year (most in the MLB). He is also striking out fewer, but he is supposed to be in his prime so I think he will improve. He is also getting almost no run support, which will also change as the Angels offense heats up.

Adam Lind, TOR 1B.. This year’s stats: (8% of AB’s= XBH), 114 AB’s, 9 XBH (6 2B, 3 HR), 8 R, 11 RBI, .184 AVG, .589 OPS… Career Stats: (162 game average), (10% of AB’s= XBH), 606 AB, 63 XBH (34 2B, 27 HR, 2 3B), 75 R, 94 RBI, .263 AVG, .773 OPS

Lind is a good hitter, he has just gotten off to a horrible start, with an average 80 points lower than average and an OPS 200 points lower. He should get back on track.

Gaby Sanchez, Marlins 1B.. This year’s stats: (9% of AB’s= XBH), 119 AB’s, 10 XBH (9 2B, 1 HR), 5 R, 10 RBI, .198 AVG, .550 OPS… Career Stats: (162 game average), (10% of AB’s= XBH), 565 AB, 56 XBH (37 2B, 18 HR, 1 3B), 66 R, 78 RBI, .263 AVG, .766 OPS

I don’t expect Gaby to bounce all the way back, but his batting average will rise above .240 and he will hit at least 15 HR (assuming he stays in the starting role).

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