NCAA Final Prediction

Posted: 04/01/2012 by levcohen in Basketball

… and then there were 2. Kansas and Kentucky moved on to the finals, knocking off Ohio State and Louisville. This will be an interesting matchup. The top two players in the country and possibly the top two picks (Anthony Davis for Kentucky and Thomas Robinson for Kansas) will need to be on top of their games if they want to win. Kentucky undoubtedly has the more talented starting lineup, but isn’t deep. Kansas is a two man team on offense. PG Tyshawn Taylor and Robinson take half of their shots. Taylor needs to be on his game, and Robinson needs to be dominant for Kansas to have a chance. Along with T-rob, the Jayhawks can guard Davis with Jeff Withey, a block machine who had 10 blocks in the sweet 16 win over NC State. Kansas needs to keep their big men out of trouble, as they are also a very shallow team. In my opinion, Bill Self is the better coach (on the court) than John Callipari. Kansas will need to utilize the coaching edge if it is a close game at the end. Overall, Kentucky’s lineup is superior, and if both teams are on top of their game Kentucky should win. For Kansas to win they will need to get Davis in foul trouble early in the game

Prediction:

Kentucky-73, Kansas- 68

The Wildcats have more talent and more than two players on their team can score. They would be the youngest team ever to win an NCAA Championship, but I think they should do it, and the score will be double digits for most of the game. Kansas will make a late run, and cover the spread (Kentucky by 7) but won’t ever really threaten Kentucky.

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Comments
  1. philabundant says:

    Interesting that for all the talk of the importance of depth in basketball, the Final Two are both shallow. Maybe depth is more important in the pros, where teams have to play many more games and the play is much more physical.

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